NFL Week 10 Picks and Predictions

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NFL Week 10 Picks and Predictions

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February 4, 2023

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Veterans’ Day Weekend brings with it the tenth week of the NFL season, the official begin of the second half of the schedule. Because the motion on the sphere continues to shock and confuse followers and pundits, groups put together for his or her playoff push as postseason berths and bye weeks are nonetheless up for grabs in each conferences. Right here now could be our picks and predictions of all of the Week 10 motion across the NFL.

Atlanta -2.5 (4-5) at Carolina (2-7): Duces are wild for the host of Thursday Evening Soccer this week for the reason that Panthers have two wins on the season, enter the sport on a two-game shedding streak, however are nonetheless solely two losses behind the NFC South main Buccaneers and Falcons. Carolina will host Atlanta to start out Week Ten in a recreation even Amazon needs they might use the return label on. Atlanta is appreciated by most early bettors as cash line and the purpose unfold gamers are supporting the Falcons by a 4-to-1 margin regardless of the computer systems calling this a area aim recreation. The Soiled Birds are eighth within the NFL in scored at 24 factors per recreation however are additionally permitting 25 factors per recreation on protection, explaining their practically .500 document thus far. Quarterback Marcus Mariota has possible strengthened the notion that he’s a stable backup, however an inconsistent NFL starter with no stable supporting solid, one thing Atlanta is years away from having. With the Panthers unable to cease the run or the move on protection, their 25 factors per recreation common is prone to be reached by the Falcons, and Carolina incapability to run or move the ball effectively on offensive makes this seem like a simple recreation to select, no less than on paper. Falcons -2.0 to win, cowl and get again to .500 on the yr.

Seattle (6-3) vs. Tampa Bay -3.0 (4-5): The Sunday morning recreation from Germany options the opposite co-leader of the NFC South because the favored (???) Buccaneers tackle one of many shock groups within the league within the Seahawks. Seattle takes their journey midway around the globe with a four-game successful streak which has propelled them from under .500 to the leaders of the NFC West; all of which seems to imply nothing to oddsmakers who’ve labeled them a area aim underdog. Oddsmakers are, maybe, making an attempt to bait Seattle followers into taking the factors this week, and if that’s the case, they’ve succeeded since cash line and level unfold layers are all around the three factors the Seahawks are being given on a impartial area, shunning the inconsistent Tampa Bay offense. Seattle might want to show they’re rating near their 27 factors per recreation common in the event that they need to win this recreation … that’s as a result of Tampa Bay solely permits 18 factors, the identical low quantity the Bucs’ offense has been producing on common up to now this yr. It will possible be a race to 21 or 24 factors, which has me fearful for these betting the over with a 44.5 sitting on the board. As for the sport, I feel the Buccaneers wanted to get away for some time, and they’ll present up in an enormous method this week, and with their defensive possible chipping in with an enormous turnover, its Tampa Bay -3 for me.

Minnesota (7-1) at Buffalo -3.5 (6-2): If not for the Jets knocking off the Payments and handing them their second AFC East defeat, this could have been a matchup of 7-1 groups with “Tremendous Bowl Preview” written all around the marquee. However, this might very effectively be who we see enjoying within the ultimate recreation of the season since falling in need of the Tremendous Bowl could be a disappointment for each of those groups. Bettors are grabbing factors right here, possibly victims of the “what have you ever accomplished for me recently” pitfall after watching Buffalo come up brief final week. On paper the Payments have a greater protection than the Vikings with a barely higher offense, which is why the computer systems made this a 3 or 4 level recreation. Buffalo can also be prone to be extra centered after struggling a stunned loss to the Jets, turning what may have been a two-game divisional lead into only a half recreation. Minnesota has defeated all comers this season not named Philadelphia, however there may be possible no workforce nearer to how the Eagles play than the Payments. That’s why Buffalo -3.5 is the play right here for me.

Detroit (2-6) at Chicago -3.0 (3-6): With the Packers down and out this yr, the NFC North is a one-team division this season, and the Lions and Bears will not be that workforce. The Bears have allowed 84 factors of their final two video games, each losses, whereas the Lions have been ready so as to add to Inexperienced Bay’s distress by holding them to 9 factors final week, giving Detroit win quantity two on the yr. Lions’ QB Jared Goff is forward of Bears’ QB Justin Fields on yards even for those who add the dashing yards the Chicago sign caller has up to now this season. Each of those groups are looking for their method, with no less than one in all them in search of a brand new quarterback as quickly as attainable … with this season possibly displaying followers of the Bears that Fields is probably not the only option for QB of the long run. I like how the Lions play, and final week’s win will enhance their confidence heading into one other NFC North battle, that’s why, for me, it will likely be Detroit +3 for the outright win right here.

Denver (3-5) at Tennessee -2.5 (5-3): WOW, an NFL recreation the place the over/beneath is 36.5 factors. Properly, they should be anticipating dangerous climate in Nashville this weekend (sunny and 45 levels). Clearly it gained’t be raining factors both on this recreation since Denver solely averages 15 factors a recreation whereas the run-heavy hosts from Tennessee solely common 18.5. If the Broncos really feel like there’s nonetheless life of their season, this could possibly be an excellent place for them to select up a win. In spite of everything, the Titans solely common 155 passing yards per recreation whereas Denver solely yields 166.75, finest within the NFL. So, until Derrick Henry can pave the way in which to the top zone and area targets, the Broncos may be capable to discover one or two massive performs on offense to take a lead and possibly even maintain it. The Titans are on the Broncos’ mercy on this contest, so taking the factors works effectively for me. Denver -2.5 for the win.

Jacksonville (3-6) at Kansas Metropolis -9.5 (6-2): I’ve tried to help the grown and potential of the Jaguars this season, maybe pondering too extremely of them at occasions. This week, nevertheless, gained’t be a kind of weeks as Jacksonville heads to the Midwest to tackle Kansas Metropolis. The Jags wanted a go to from the Raiders to interrupt their shedding streak final week whereas solely a loss to Buffalo put a blemish on KC’s October document which was added to by a win towards Tennessee final week. With the Payments shedding final week and going through a tricky check this week, KC may be the workforce with the most effective document within the AFC by the top of play Sunday … maybe giving them one thing to concentrate on and play for in the course of the center a part of their schedule, a time of yr in current seasons they’ve struggled to search out their A-Recreation. Except Jacksonville and run for 200 yards and management the sport for 35-plus minutes, that is Kansas Metropolis’s recreation to lose. KC -9.5 to win and canopy.

Cleveland (3-5) at -3.5 Miami (6-3): With out having their bye week but, the Dolphins have fallen into third place within the mighty AFC East whereas the Browns are nearer to final place within the AFC North than they’re to first place. Cleveland hasn’t performed since Halloween once they manhandled the Bengals whereas Miami hasn’t been dwelling since October twenty third when the defeated the Steelers to start out their present three-game successful streak. The Browns are three weeks away from seeing the debut of Deshawn Watson as their QB, however with out successful some video games between every now and then, they could be out of the playoff hunt which is at the moment a chase of the AFC North main Baltimore Ravens. Sadly, for the Dawg Pound, going through the Dolphins just isn’t prone to be a spot the place they’ll discover a win. Miami is the higher workforce, and they need to win going away. Dolphins -3.5 simple.

Houston (1-6-1) at NY Giants -5.0 (6-2): The Giants take one week off for his or her bye and lose a spot within the NFC East standings and they’re now (based mostly upon head-to-head) behind the second-place Dallas Cowboys. Houston is seeing their plan come collectively they usually proceed to be within the lead for the worst document this season, giving them first decide of subsequent yr’s QB Draft Class. Giants followers should be each pleased and confused by solely seeing their workforce favored by 5 factors at dwelling off a bye week towards a Texans’ workforce with the league’s worst document. That’s as a result of New York hasn’t had an excessive amount of comfy wins and have wanted to return again late in a lot of them, and in these video games the place they’d leads, they by no means blow anybody out as they depend on their working recreation to seal the victory. The Texans may be aggressive, and until the Giants drop the hammer early and infrequently on them with TDs, Houston will preserve this recreation shut, so I’m taking the 5 factors and anticipating the Giants to play as they’ve all season, with late recreation miracle ball for a detailed win.

New Orleans (3-6) at Pittsburgh -1.5 (2-6): These are two groups who’re proving with no Professional-Bowl stage quarterback, you can’t win within the NFL. These groups are so carefully matched up of their ineptitude that the Steelers are solely getting half of the conventional three-points afforded to dwelling groups by oddsmakers. Pittsburgh has solely scored 15 factors per recreation on common this yr and have solely damaged 21 factors in a gap week extra time towards Cincinnati, which they gained. Then again, the Saints have been in a position to rating in most of their wins and losses this yr, making them harmful for a workforce that struggles to place two TDs on the scoreboard. Yeah, Pittsburgh is at dwelling, however these will not be the identical Steelers followers are used to anymore. Saints +1.5 to win outright.

Indianapolis (3-5-1) at Las Vegas -6.0 (2-6): If it wasn’t for the truth that former ESPN commentator Jeff Saturday has returned to the Colts to be their head coach, this recreation would have zero that means. The truth that Saturday, a former Colts lineman tweeted out how a lot the Raiders suck simply days earlier than taking on the Colts for this recreation, the truth that somebody with zero NFL teaching expertise is the top coach for this recreation could be the dominate information. Unsure how the numbers work out to make dwelling workforce a six-point favourite particularly contemplating the Raiders’ QB Derek Carr has fewer passing yards then Matt Ryan, who has been benched by the Colts. Las Vegas did win their two dwelling video games in October over Denver and Houston whereas the Indy has gained on the highway since a 12-9 victory at Denver over a month in the past. The Raiders may win, however I can’t see them defeating anybody by greater than a landing, so I’m taking Indianapolis +6 to cowl.

Dallas (6-2) at Inexperienced Bay (3-6): With the Eagles and Vikings enjoying so effectively, this recreation, imagine it or not, may have NFC Wild-Card tiebreaker written throughout it come January. That could be laborious to imagine for some dwelling on the frozen tundra, nevertheless, the Packers are possible enjoying for a Wild-Card and the Cowboys are two video games behind the Eagles, making this a somebody vital recreation, particularly if the Packers win. Inexperienced Bay is simply posting 17 factors per recreation and through their five-game skid of by no means surpassed 22 factors in a recreation. Dallas is seeking to catch lightning in a bottle the way in which the Rams did final yr once they traded for WR Odell Beckham, Jr, with the free agent solely needing to be signed coming off an harm this yr. Even with out OBJ, the Cowboys are enjoying higher with head coach Mike McCarthy calling performs that work finest for his gamers on the sphere, not from his days because the Packers head coach. I wish to see the Packers get again into the playoff hunt, however simply can’t see them getting higher right here. Dallas -5 to win/cowl.

Arizona (3-6) at LA Rams -1.5 (3-5): The underside half of the NFC West due battle on this largely meaningly recreation. Each of those groups have struggled this season with discuss of Kliff Kingsbury being on the new seat in Arizona and, maybe, teaching for his job on a week-to-week foundation. The Rams are a shadow of themselves in comparison with final yr as the entire workforce recovers from their Tremendous Bowl hangover in 2022. Arizona is giving up practically 27 factors per recreation on protection, setting issues up for a Rams offense that’s scoring ten factors much less each sixty minutes. The Air Raid offense of the Cardinals can’t common greater than 22.6 factors, just one level greater than what the Rams yield, making this a contest of the Playing cards’ D and the Rams’ O. With late phrase on Wednesday that Matthew Stafford is in concussion protocol, this betting line will change rapidly, which makes Arizona +1.5 the play now since they are going to possible be favored by kick off late Sunday afternoon.

LA Chargers (5-3) at San Francisco -7.0 (4-4): Folks love the 49ers these days, even favoriting them over the Seattle Seahawks in weekly rankings regardless of their .500 document. The Chargers know they’ve a showdown with the AFC West leaders from Kansas Metropolis developing in primetime subsequent week, however this primetime recreation will show to make that recreation kind of vital. Maybe the oddsmakers know San Francisco’s protection is best than their offense in permitting solely 18.4 factors per recreation, and the fewest dashing yards and eighth fewest passing yards, making this a recreation of area place as a lot as scoring on Sunday evening. LA depends on the passing recreation, which can make them one dimensional on this contest, but additionally will give them an opportunity to interrupt just a few lengthy performs to remain within the recreation and rating some factors. The unfold, for me, appears to be like too excessive on this recreation, so, on that foundation, I’m taking the Chargers (+7) to maintain in shut even when they don’t win.

Washington (4-5) at Philadelphia -11.0 (8.0): This #1 internet hosting #4 within the NFC East is how Week Ten will finish, with the Eagles flying excessive as an 11-point favourite. This would be the Eagles’ third division recreation. They defeated Washington on the highway in late September for his or her third win of the yr and knocked off Dallas earlier than their bye week on October sixteenth. Commanders’ followers may be getting their want as phrase has it that possession (Mr. and Mrs. Daniel Snyder) have employed a primary to look into promoting no less than a portion of the workforce if not all if it. If true, the workforce could possibly come out from the darkish cloud it has performed beneath for years and possibly, simply possibly, return to a few of their previous glory. As for this week, the glory might all belong to the Eagles as they’re the favourite of bettors on the cash line and level unfold, even with the double-digit unfold. Washington has confirmed they’ll beat groups not enjoying their finest, whereas the Eagles have simply defeated all comers. Laying 11 factors isn’t simple, however beneath the sunshine, Philly and thrived this yr. Eagles -11 to cowl.

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