Two thirds of the French believe that white, European and Christian populations are threatened with extinction from immigration from Muslim and African countries.
Sixty percent of the French said that such a scenario will “definitely” or “likely” play out in the country when asked by pollers who released the results last week.
The question was asked ahead of next year’s election, in which Emmanuel Macron will almost certainly face one of two right-wing candidates: Marine Le Pen or Eric Zemmour.
Two thirds of the French believe that “European, white and Christian” populations are “threatened with extinction” by Muslim immigration from Africa, according to a survey (file)
The poll was conducted to test belief in the idea of ”grand replacement,” a concept touted by Eric Zemmour – a right-wing expert who could run against Macron in next year’s elections
At the center of Zemmour’s ideology is the idea of ”The Great Replacement,” a theory by Renaud Camus who argues that Christian civilization is being purposely replaced by Muslim immigration from Africa in a plot by global capitalists.
The survey carried out by Harris Interactiveto test whether voters believe in the concept or not – although it is widely used by experts.
The question asked of voters according to Camus’ definition was: “Some people speak of the ‘great substitute’: that the European, white and Christian populations are threatened with extinction after Muslim immigration from the Maghreb [northern Africa] and black Africa. Do you see such a phenomenon? ‘
It found that 61 percent of French believe the phenomenon could happen in France, with 27 percent saying they are “sure” that it will happen.
Only 39 percent of the respondents said that it “probably” or “definitely” will not happen.
Of those who said it “certainly” or “likely” to happen, support for the idea was roughly even across all ages and genders.
However, it varied greatly depending on political affiliation.
More than 90 percent of Le Pen’s RN party supporters thought this was a likely scenario, while only 30 percent of the Greens said the same.
Perhaps troubling to Macron, 52 percent of his own party’s supporters thought this was a likely scenario.
A follow-up question asked whether the French were “worried” or “not worried” about the idea of a “Big Replacement”.
This found that even more people – 67 percent – were concerned about the idea, compared to just 33 percent who weren’t.
Polls have suggested for years that Marine Le Pen (left) will be who Emmanuel Macron (right) will run for the French presidency, but Zemmour could now defeat her
The issue of migration and its impact on French identity becomes a central theme of the upcoming elections as Zemmour – who has not yet declared his candidacy – threatens to seize Le Pen for the chance to accept Macron.
Zemmour – a figure notorious in France for his anti-Islam and anti-migration views, which he advocates in essays and on his new TV show – is now higher than Le Pen in some opinion polls ahead of next April’s vote.
Le Pen appears to be losing support for Zemmour as she tries to move into the spotlight to portray herself as a serious candidate – after losing to Macron in the second round of the election
In contrast, Zemmour sits openly on the right, declaring that suburbs of Paris are being “colonized” by Muslim migrants with large families who he believes will constitute the majority of the population by the middle of the century.
Statisticians say this argument is deeply flawed, but polls show that his arguments carry through with voters.
He also has two hate speech convictions, including testifying during a broadcast that France is being “invaded” by Muslims and has to give them an ultimatum: “Choose between Islam and France”.
France’s shift to the right follows a series of terrorist attacks in which voters have called for politicians to take a tougher stance on extremism.
Teacher Samuel Paty was beheaded at a school near Paris last year after showing students a caricature of the Prophet Muhammad just weeks before three people were killed in a second attack in Nice Cathedral.
After Paty’s murder, Macron took a much tougher stance on Islamic extremism, stating that France would “never give up” to express freedom of expression, including drawing pictures of Mohammed.
This led to mass demonstrations in many Muslim-majority nations, led by Turkish President Erdogan, who denounced the comments.