Home Sports Tremendous Bowl LVII betting information: Chiefs-Eagles prop bets

Tremendous Bowl LVII betting information: Chiefs-Eagles prop bets

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Workers prepare for the NFL Super Bowl LVII football game outside State Farm Stadium, Feb. 1, 2023, in Glendale, Ariz.

Employees put together for the NFL Tremendous Bowl LVII soccer recreation exterior State Farm Stadium, Feb. 1, 2023, in Glendale, Ariz.
Picture: AP

Betting might be an thrilling addition to the standard enjoyment of a sporting occasion, nevertheless it’s by no means price dropping your hard-earned money. Guess responsibly, and solely guess with expendable cash you’re keen to lose. With that mentioned, there are various attention-grabbing strains and prop bets developing subsequent weekend. After all, you’ll be able to at all times guess on the result of the sport or the over-under, however this yr’s Tremendous Bowl matchup appears notably tough to pin down.

On one hand, you might have the perennial favorites, the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs. They’re not a workforce anybody bets in opposition to frivolously. Irrespective of how effectively you consider the opposing workforce matches up, this can be a workforce that simply manages to win, time in and day out. At the moment, they’re 1.5-point underdogs. The Eagles are a extremely well-built workforce with Professional Bowl-caliber gamers at completely each stage of each their offense and protection. Nonetheless, the unstoppable aura that surrounds the Chiefs is tough to look previous, and the extent of the Eagles’ success in these playoffs is well mitigated by taking a look at who they needed to play to get to this second.

The 49ers have been presupposed to be a tricky matchup, however quarterback Brock Purdy barely received a possibility to throw. Certain, the Eagles put up 31 factors on that daunting 49ers’ protection, but when not for a non-catch by DeVonta Smith that arrange the primary rating, a mishandled snap from 49ers’ backup Josh Johnson that led to the Eagles’ second rating, and a questionable roughing the punter penalty that arrange one other rating, we may be speaking about a completely totally different ball recreation. All that, and the truth that the Niners virtually made their star operating again their go-to passer. Though Philly’s win over the Giants was positively spectacular, it was to be anticipated as effectively given the Eagles’ drastically superior expertise pool in addition to the truth that they have been coming off a bye week.

It’s tough to name, and that’s why I don’t really feel good going both method. If you wish to do one thing like betting each side barely to your benefit like placing a unit on Chiefs (-3) whereas concurrently placing one other unit on Eagles (-3), contemplating each can be higher odds within the books’ favor, you would possibly be capable of come out with somewhat more money both method with minimal threat contemplating that any line three factors or much less is taken into account a choose ‘em within the betting world.

Eagles, Chiefs prop bets

If that’s not your cup of tea although, and also you’re in search of one thing with somewhat extra juice, listed below are some prop bets I actually like.

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards O/U 10.5

Prediction: OVER

While most sportsbooks have Gainwell’s line at 11.5, FanDuel currently has it set to 10.5. That already implies that there’s money to be made here. Gainwell has seen a lot of work the last two weeks and while a lot of that can be attributed to game script shifting in favor of leaning on running backs, there’s also reason to believe Gainwell is being looked at favorably by the Eagles’ coaching staff.

Gainwell is also the most prolific pass-catching back on the Eagles. Should the game script flip in favor of the Chiefs, odds are that Gainwell will see the field more often than any other Philadelphia back late in the game. Even if he gets only two or three targets, Gainwell has shown an ability to make the most of his opportunity, breaking a 17-yard gain on a quick pass against San Francisco. All it takes is one of those for Gainwell to hit his over, and I’d be willing to bet he’ll get more pass-catching work in this game than in the Eagles’ other two games combined.

Chiefs Team Rushing Yards O/U 99.5

Prediction: UNDER

The Chiefs have never been a very efficient rushing team, and in close games, the Chiefs don’t run the ball very often. In 2022, the Chiefs failed to record a single game with over 100 rushing yards when they recorded 20 or fewer rushing attempts (five times), and even when they have rushed the ball 20 or more times in a game, they don’t always reach the 100-yard threshold (three more times). I would expect this game to be close, and thus, I doubt the Chiefs will fall into the running game. Therefore, they shouldn’t reach 100 yards. It’s as simple as that.

The Eagles’ run defense is somewhat questionable. They’d allowed at least 100 rushing yards in six straight games before their matchup with San Francisco. However, those games were all against run-heavy offenses. Kansas City is not.

Chris Jones NOT to record a sack (-108)

Chris Jones is a game-changing pass rusher. No one is denying that. However, I trust the Eagles’ offensive line just a little bit more. Against the 49ers, Lane Johnson and company held DPOY candidate Nick Bosa to zero sacks and zero QB hits. That’s tough to do. Bosa had at least one quarterback hit in all but two games this season and to see such a dominant pass-rusher get held in check all game is insanely tough.

Jones does have a few things going for him. For one, it’s likely the Eagles pass the ball more in this game. Given San Francisco’s devastating luck with QB injuries, the Eagles were in a position to wind the clock down early. They likely won’t have the same luxury against Patrick Mahomes. More pass-rush opportunities could lead to one sack. However, the Eagles have been phenomenal at shutting down opponents’ top pass rushers all year.

Lane Johnson, Landon Dickerson, and Jason Kelce all finished top-10 in the NFL in go block win fee this season. That’s one man at each stage of the offensive line. Irrespective of the place Jones strains up defensively, he’s going to pair up in opposition to an absolute dawg. Jones did put up the second-highest go rush win fee amongst defensive tackles within the NFL this yr.

Nonetheless, he was double-teamed at a reasonably mediocre fee. I’d count on the Eagles to place extra effort into trivializing Jones’ impression, forcing somebody like Frank Clark or rookie edge rusher George Karlaftis to beat them as an alternative. Jones will doubtless nonetheless depart an impression, I’d simply be keen to guess that impression received’t present up within the sack column.

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