NFL Week 13 Picks and Predictions

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NFL Week 13 Picks and Predictions

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February 4, 2023

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As we attain the ultimate month of 2022, we’ve additionally reached Week 13 of the NFL season. As some groups surprise what went mistaken between the summer time and now, different groups have their followers dreaming a few playoff berth to start out the 12 months together with postseason glory come February. Right here now could be my tackle each single sport that will likely be performed throughout week 13 within the NFL together with some ideas on what each group has completed this season, and what lies forward within the coming months.

Buffalo -3.5 (8-3) at New England (6-5): Take away the Patriots two video games towards the Jets over the previous month and New England just isn’t solely a sub-.500 group, however can be out of the AFC playoff image to start out December. Payments QB and MVP candidate Josh Allen has fallen out of first place within the AFC East because of a troublesome loss towards the Vikings Veterans’ Day weekend earlier than profitable twice in Detroit because of an historic snowstorm. Buffalo is tied with Miami atop the division, however are second based mostly upon present tiebreakers, which makes this got here big for the group’s probabilities of profitable the division and making their street to the Tremendous Bowl simpler. The Vikings confirmed Buffalo easy methods to defeat the Patriots final Thursday night time and the Payments will be taught their lesson effectively. Regardless of being on the street for the third straight week Buffalo -3.5 is the play for me right here.

Pittsburgh (4-7) at Atlanta -1.0 (5-7): Nobody within the NFC South is out of the divisional title race but, with the Falcons solely a half-game behind the Buccaneers, whereas the Steelers take their journey all the way down to Dixie on the backside of the AFC North regardless of their Monday night time win in Indianapolis. We discovered that with out proficient gamers, Mike Tomlin isn’t going to attract extra out of his group that they’ve, which is why his streak of above .500 season will finish in early January. Marcus Mariota has proved to be a quarterback who can hit his stride and string collectively touchdowns and even wins, but in addition play unhealthy sufficient to have groups searching for different choices. In brief, he’ll make an amazing backup QB for many of his profession who may catch lightning in a bottle in the fitting place sooner or later. With the Falcons within the playoff hunt, it’s tough to choose towards them at dwelling when common gamers typically carry out higher, so it’s Atlanta -1.0 on this early Sunday sport.

Inexperienced Bay -4.5 (4-8) at Chicago (3-9): With the affirmation that he has been taking part in harm, it’s no surprise that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are having considered one of their worst seasons in franchise historical past. It additionally makes me surprise why Rodgers is even suiting up for this NFC North battle … maybe is it solely to defeat the Bears yet one more time in his profession earlier than turning over the beginning job to Jordan Love, or perhaps Inexperienced Bay believes that 9-8 remains to be doable this season. For Chicago, it’s clear Justin Fields has confirmed himself to be the lesser of all of the working QBs within the league as his manufacturing is nowhere close to that of gamers named Hurts, Jackson or Murray, leaving the Bears with selections to make subsequent season, particularly will Fields nonetheless take the sector. Whereas I don’t count on Rodgers to complete the season in uniform, he will likely be for this sport, which suggests the Packers are nonetheless the higher group and may win this divisional rivalry sport. Inexperienced Bay -4.5 to win.

Jacksonville -1.0 (4-7) at Detroit (4-7): If the NFL had a Future’s Sport like different sports activities did, gamers from each the Jaguars and Lions would seem it in as each look as thought they’re trending in the fitting route for 2023. Don’t like seeing Detroit as a house underdog right here, however the Jags are most likely a barely higher group, which additionally means they’re ripe to be picked off in an upset. Consider it or not, each of those groups have performed effectively this season and will, underneath completely different circumstances, have a greater report than every of them do; this tells me that this could possibly be probably the greatest video games of the weekend for followers (and prop bettors) to take pleasure in. Taking the factors and the Lions.

NY Jets (7-4) at Minnesota -3 (9-2): The Vikings have wins over the Payments and Patriots within the final three weeks, posting 33 factors in every sport, with the sport in between being a 40-3 blowout loss to the Cowboys. Do oddsmakers actually see extra Dallas the Buffalo or New England on this Jets group? Most likely so due to their working sport and the group’s new QB Mike White, who took over final week and posted a win over the Bears. New York doesn’t have a lot offensive expertise, however with White behind heart, are actually capable of take photographs down the sector, one thing Zach Wilson hardly ever did. Getting right into a shootout, nonetheless, just isn’t the way in which the Jets will win this street sport, so liking Gang Inexperienced means a decrease scoring shut sport, one thing they’ve completed earlier than to different groups, such because the Payments. The Vikings are higher and at dwelling, so laying the factors is my play right here, however this will likely be a one-score sport in both route when these group stroll off the sector.

Washington -2.5 (7-5) at NY Giants (7-4): The bloom is off the Giants’ rose this season with a win over Houston the one factor preserving them from beginning December on a four-game dropping streak. New York solely posted 24 factors towards the Texans, who by no means felt out of their sport, and have didn’t surpass 20 factors of their three losses, that tells me the remainder of the league has caught as much as the Giants’ restricted offense and they’re going to limp dwelling towards to the end line this season. As for Washington, regardless of main all {of professional} sports activities in off-field distractions, they’re poised to move the Giants within the NFC East standings with a win this weekend, the primary of two video games these groups will play over the remainder of the season. The Commanders began their present three-game profitable streak with an 11-point victory over Philadelphia, which is why they’re a street favourite over a much less proficient Giants group this weekend. Washington is trending up whereas New York is trending down coming into this sport, so, after this divisional showdown, there’ll nonetheless be a 7-5 group on the backside of the standings, the Giants. Washington -2.5 for the win and the straightforward cowl.

Tennessee (7-4) at Philadelphia -5.0 (10-1): The NFL’s first 10-win group this season might want to maintain their foot on the fuel for many, if not all of December because of the rebirth of the NFC East. The Titans, regardless of being in first place within the AFC South additionally appear to be one play quick with regards to difficult the NFL’s elite groups after developing quick to Kansas Metropolis and Cincinnati. Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts has change into what many felt Kyler Murray could be in Arizona and Lamar Jackson would have continued to be after his MVP season; and with Philly’s offensive line seemingly unstoppable, Hurts appears to have a greater formulation for postseason success than the opposite gamers. At this level, it’s Tremendous Bowl or bust for the Eagles having been the perfect group within the NFC at the very least, and maybe the whole NFL from Week One. Because the chilly climate descends upon the Northeast, Mom Nature could make the Philadelphia offense one dimensional greater than opposing defenses. On this sport, laying lower than a landing makes the Eagles -5 the perfect play.

Denver (3-8) at Baltimore -8.5 (7-4): Tales of a median to poorly attended birthday celebration for Broncos’ QB Russell Wilson reached social media this week with those that had been there saying solely half the Denver gamers confirmed up. Detractors identified that Wilson has not at all times been type to his new AFC West teammates, and so they made their emotions clear by skipping his get together; others may simply say with a 3-8 report, what’s the purpose of going to the get together when you really feel such as you received’t be a part of the group in 2023. For the Ravens, final week defeat to Jacksonville dropped them again right into a tie with Cincinnati for first place within the AFC North, with Cleveland and Pittsburgh at 4-7. The Ravens feasted on the NFC South during the last month with wins over Tampa Bay, New Orleans and Carolina. They now have one other lay up win on their schedule to start out December and preserve their share of the divisional lead. It’s clear little, if something is working effectively in Denver, and with Wilson underneath a brand new contract, these round him can pay the worth. Onerous to see a path to victory for the Broncos right here or seeing them staying inside ten, Ravens -8.5 to win and canopy.

Cleveland -7.0 (4-7) at Houston (1-9-1): I ponder if the 11-game suspension of Deshawn Watson was appealed on the grounds that the NFL needed this week to mark the return of the embattled quarterback if the attraction would have been upheld. That’s, in any case, the one purpose to observe this sport and I might count on interviews from a few of those that filed a lawsuit towards Watson to be interviewed since some are anticipated to attend this sport. Don’t fear, I’m positive CBS may have wall-to-wall protection of the whole story throughout the broadcast (NOT!). As for the sport itself, yeah, Watson does make the Browns higher, nonetheless, Sherlock Holmes may ship Dr. Watson and Cleveland would nonetheless be favorited by a area objective on Sunday afternoon. Is there any means for Houston to win this sport? Sure, if Deshawn Watson tries too onerous and makes a ton of errors; and even then, Cleveland ought to win this sport and provides the Texans a decrease first-round draft decide in 2023 after this depressing season. Browns -7 to win and canopy.

Seattle -7.5 (6-5) at LA Rams (3-8): The Rams have taken the Tremendous Bowl hangover to new depths this season as they’re on course to have a double-digit dropping season, making followers in Detroit joyful because the Lions maintain LA’s first spherical decide in subsequent 12 months’s draft. Within the Pacific Northwest, the Geno Smith MVP categorical has been derailed by the Seahawks QB returning to his well-established dropping methods, one thing commentators had been making an attempt to overlook over the primary half of the season. Seattle is now a sport behind the 49ers within the NFC West, with many seeing San Francisco making a deep postseason run come January. Nonetheless, it is a “get proper” sport for Pete Carroll’s group and an opportunity to maintain their names within the postseason hunt after 12 video games, and with the Rams banged up and sure purpose to money out, giving up the 7.5 factors needs to be simple for bettors like me this week.

Miami (8-3) at San Francisco -4.0 (7-4): Will we dare name this a late season Tremendous Bowl preview? Many are predictions (truly, they’re altering their beforehand made incorrect predictions) that at the very least one if now each of those divisional leaders will attain the massive sport come February. Miami streaks into this sport winners of 5 straight, however none of them having a profitable report, whereas the ‘Niners have received 4 straight with just one win over a group above .500, the 6-5 Chargers. So, maybe discuss to the Tremendous Bowl is a bit untimely to start out December, discuss to me in a month. The Dolphins are all about streaks, profitable their first three earlier than dropping their subsequent three, and now with a five-game win streak. The ‘Niners began off slowly, dropping to Chicago and Denver, scoring ten factors in every sport, with the center of October seeing Atlanta and Kansas Metropolis hand them two extra losses earlier than Halloween. Now they’re atop the NFC West and on course, with solely their head coach Kyle Shanahan in the way in which of one other title run. I don’t imagine in Tua Tagovailoa, and I do imagine in Jimmy Garoppolo, so this decide is simple, San Fran. -4 to win.

Kansas Metropolis -2.5 (9-2) at Cincinnati (7-4): Tiebreakers and residential area within the AFC title sport could possibly be on the road on this AFC showdown of high 5 scoring offenses. KC scores over 29 factors a sport to steer the NFL with the Bengals posting practically 26 for fifth greatest; and with every group yielding over 21 factors per sport on protection, the over/underneath of 52.5 may simply be for the primary half. The Bengals broke the two-year maintain Kansas Metropolis had on the AFC by reaching the Tremendous Bowl final 12 months, and these groups could possibly be giving us a playoff preview late Sunday afternoon. Patrick Mahomes appears to be having extra enjoyable taking part in QB for KC now that Tyreek Hill is with the Dolphins, and the Tremendous Bowl loss has completed little to have an effect on the boldness of Joe Burrow in Cincy. As for the sport, I hope that is an old school AFL shootout with 40+ factors placed on the board by each groups since that’s precisely what the NFL needs in 2022 to make bettors of all types joyful. Who will win … KC has confirmed to be extra targeted this 12 months, however at dwelling, give me the two.5 factors and the Bengals to cowl if not win a field-goal sport.

LA Chargers -1.5 (6-5) at Las Vegas (4-7): Profitable the AFC West just isn’t probably for the upstart Chargers this season, however with an opportunity to pad their report over the Raiders, incomes an AFC Wild-Card spot is certainly of their management. Quarterback Justin Herbert is single-handedly preserving this group concerned within the postseason chase, and the Chargers are going to be a drive in 2023 if they’ll maintain their QB wholesome and add some extra expertise to their roster. However, the Raiders have proved to be an ongoing practice wreck for the reason that Jon Gruden error, I’m period, started regardless of it ending final 12 months. This group’s roster is inconsistent and the play of their stars outdoors WR Devante Adams has been shaky at greatest, resulting in their poor report. The Chargers want this street sport within the worst means, however their stats say they in a too-close-to-call dogfight; I think about Justin Herbert nonetheless, which is why giving up the 1.5 factors is simple for me. LA to win and canopy within the desert.

Indianapolis (4-7-1) at Dallas -11 (8-3): The Jeff Saturday Expertise reaches Sunday Night time Soccer this weekend because the Colts head to Huge D to tackle the Cowboys. Saturday took over the pinnacle teaching job in Indy three video games in the past, going 1-2, however dropping his final two. The ‘Boys took over second play within the NFC East with wins over the Vikings and Giants whereas the Giants misplaced earlier than falling in Dallas on Thanksgiving. The Colts returned to QB Matt Ryan underneath their new head coach, with the previous Falcon wanting older by the week whereas Tony Pollard has confirmed to be the higher possibility for the Cowboys at working again, surpassing the overrated and overpaid Ezekiel Elliott in manufacturing. Dallas is aware of what it takes to win up to now this season, however for these of us outdoors the Metroplex, doesn’t Jerry’s World want to combine issues up somewhat bit by having the franchise with the Lone Star on their helmets signal Odell Beckham, Jr.? If you wish to watch an excellent group implode earlier than your eyes and underneath the cluelessness that’s personified by head coach Mike McCarthy, let #13 be part of the Dallas Cowboys later this month. As for this sport, regardless of the massive quantity, Huge D has the higher group this 12 months and Dallas -11 ought to win and canopy, however barely.

New Orleans (4-8) at Tampa Bay -3.5 (5-6): Tom Brady drove his former head coach Bruce Arians out of Tampa Bay as a part of his return to the Buccaneers; nonetheless, with TB12 working the present, it seems the group isn’t nearly as good as many although throughout the preseason. Blame it on the divorce of Brady lacking a lot observe time throughout camp and the season if you want, however as the long run Corridor of Famer will inform you, there aren’t any excuses, solely outcomes, and for Tampa Bay, the one purpose to deliver again Brady was to make a Tremendous Bowl run … and proper now they want a win to achieve .500. If it wasn’t for the very fact the whole NFC South was so unhealthy, speaking concerning the Saints on Monday Night time Soccer could be left to those that have gamers on their fantasy group or have a parlay dependent upon somebody from the Bayou. This group is rebuilding, pure and easy, and even when they win and transfer nearer to first place, 5-8 group shouldn’t communicate the phrase playoffs, interval. If Brady and the Bucs can’t win this sport to get again to .500, they the NFC South needs to be relegated to the XFL subsequent spring and compelled to win there with the intention to return to the NFL. Tampa Bay -3.5 since solely the Buccaneers “want” this sport, whereas the Saints want greater draft picks and higher gamers.

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