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HomeEconomyEcon 702 Train – The Neoclassical Mannequin: GDP and Shocks

Econ 702 Train – The Neoclassical Mannequin: GDP and Shocks


Contemplate the next mannequin (from Garin, Lester and Sims):

The place

Do the next graphs of GDP, productiveness shocks (ΔA) and unemployment advantages (Δθ) make sense within the context of the neoclassical mannequin? That’s, do the collection within the backside two graphs appear to elucidate the habits within the collection (e.g., recessions, booms) within the high graph?

Determine 1: High panel – GDP in bn.Ch.2012$ SAAR. Center panel: annualized quarter-on-quarter progress in complete issue productiveness adjusted for capability utilization. Backside panel: annualized quarter-on-quarter progress in actual unemployment advantages. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Supply: BEA through FRED, SF Fed, NBER, and creator’s calculations.

 

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