S&P World (previously Macroeconomic Advisers) launched month-to-month GDP for January right now, indicating a rebound in exercise – 0.3% m/m development. Including this to a graph of key indicators adopted by the NBER BCDC yields the next:

Determine 1: Nonfarm payroll employment, NFP (darkish blue), Bloomberg consensus of three/1 (blue +), civilian employment (orange), industrial manufacturing (purple), private earnings excluding transfers in Ch.2012$ (inexperienced), manufacturing and commerce gross sales in Ch.2012$ (black), consumption in Ch.2012$ (gentle blue), and month-to-month GDP in Ch.2012$ (pink), GDP (blue bars), all log normalized to 2021M11=0. Q3 Supply: BLS, Federal Reserve, BEA 2022Q4 2nd launch through FRED, S&P World/IHS Markit (nee Macroeconomic Advisers) (3/1/2023 launch), and writer’s calculations.