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Jonathan Final: “A Nikki Haley candidacy is premised on the concept she is Not Trump. The idea behind that is that the Republican citizens’s preferences in 2024 might be divided into ‘Trump’ and ‘Not Trump’ lanes and that if Haley can win the “Not Trump” major after which consolidate these voters, then she will be able to win a head-to-head matchup in opposition to Huge Orange.”
“However I wish to put this in daring: There is no such thing as a ‘Not Trump’ lane.”
“Let me clarify. The DeSantis problem to Trump isn’t that Meatball Ron is ‘Not Trump’—it’s that he’s ‘Trump Plus.’ The DeSantis electoral proposition is that he gives you the whole lot Trump does—all the preventing, the illiberalism, the tradition struggle, the lib proudly owning, the information cycle domination, the imply tweets.”
“The one distinction is that DeSantis is extra electorally viable. In different phrases, Trump and DeSantis are preventing over the identical 85 % of the Republican citizens.”
“Nikki Haley and anybody else who jumps in attempting to be Not Trump is preventing over the remaining 15 %.”
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